Nicole To Strike Florida As A Hurricane With Storm Surge, Strong Winds, Flooding Rain

The wind speeds of at least 39 mph will occur during cumulative time periods at each specific point on the map.

A model in which 1000 plausible scenarios are constructed using the official NHC tropical cyclone forecast and its historical errors

This graphic shows how the size of the storm has changed, and the areas potentially affected so far by sustained winds of tropical storm force (in orange) and hurricane force (in red).

This graphic shows an approximate representation of coastal areas under a hurricane warning (red), hurricane watch (pink), tropical storm warning (blue) and tropical storm watch (yellow).

The orange circle indicates the current position of the center of the tropical cyclone. The black line, when selected, and dots show the National Hurricane Center (NHC).

The display is based on the wind radii contained in the latest Forecast/Advisory

The forecast storm surge inundation values that are provided in the tropical cyclone public advisory (TCP). These values represent the peak height the water could reach above normally dry ground somewhere within the specified areas.

The graphic is displayed as a Quantitative Precipitation Forecast (QPF), which shows rainfall totals for a specified time period, based on forecaster discretion

The Weather Prediction Center (WPC) forecasts the probability that rainfall will exceed flash flood guidance within 40 km (25 miles) of a point.